The Brotherhood’s Mufti and Dbeibeh… An Alliance Driving Libya toward Catastrophic Scenarios

12th March 2025

2 minutes read

Recently, an alliance has emerged between Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh, the outgoing Prime Minister of the Government of National Unity, and Sadiq Al-Ghariani, the ousted Mufti of the Muslim Brotherhood. This alliance aims to push Libya toward catastrophic scenarios by fueling chaos and inciting civil conflict, in pursuit of a hidden agenda that could ultimately impose Dbeibeh as Libya’s president by force.

According to Mafâtil Arabiyya, recent months have witnessed intense diplomatic efforts by regional and international actors to achieve a political settlement for Libya’s crisis, alongside pressure to hold presidential and parliamentary elections to break the political deadlock. However, these efforts face deliberate obstructions from influential factions, most notably Dbeibah’s government, which fears losing power if fair and transparent elections take place.

Informed sources indicate that Dbeibeh, with al-Ghariani’s support, is actively working to derail any political consultations that could lead to a national consensus resulting in his removal from power.

Recently, al-Ghariani’s incendiary rhetoric against Dbeibeh’s opponents has intensified. He has used religious slogans to justify maintaining the current status quo and rejecting peaceful solutions—a tactic he has previously employed in past crises to bolster the influence of political Islamist movements.

According to political analysts, Dbeibeh and al-Ghariani fully understand that any political stability in Libya could lead to a restructuring of power that does not serve their interests. Consequently, they are employing dangerous tactics to keep the country in a state of disorder, including inciting armed militias to spark new conflicts and engineering security crises that could obstruct any real political transition.

Experts warn that this alliance could lead to an escalation of violence in sensitive areas such as Tripoli and Misrata, where militias loyal to Dbeibeh are concentrated.

Observers believe that any renewed clashes could plunge Libya into another cycle of internal warfare, exacerbating civilian suffering and opening the door to even more complex foreign interventions.

The most dangerous scenario arising from these developments would be an attempt to impose Dbeibeh as Libya’s president outside any national consensus, exploiting the current political and security divisions and leveraging the religious legitimacy provided by al-Ghariani.

Some reports suggest that Dbeibeh is working to engineer a new political landscape that excludes his opponents and positions himself as the sole “savior” capable of governing the country, by promoting the idea that elections could lead to a new war if they fail to produce outcomes favorable to influential forces in Tripoli.

It is worth noting that regional powers such as Egypt and Tunisia are attempting to mediate and prevent the crisis from worsening. However, Dbeibeh and al-Ghariani’s insistence on obstructing any reconciliation efforts further complicates the situation.