Policy

After the war with Israel, has Hezbollah rebuilt its military arsenal?


More than a year after the end of the war between Israel and the Lebanese Hezbollah, debate continues over whether the group has genuinely succeeded in rebuilding its military arsenal.

This discussion unfolds amid conflicting assertions from both Hezbollah’s leadership and Israeli officials, each claiming a restoration of combat capabilities, while field data and security reports point to a far more complex reality shaped by regional constraints and mounting intelligence pressure.

The French-language daily L’Orient-Le Jour reports that Israel continues to reiterate its accusations against Hezbollah, alleging that the group is attempting to rebuild its military capabilities with Iranian financial support.

According to the same newspaper, Israel presented intelligence during the recent visit of White House envoy Morgan Ortagus, asserting that Hezbollah is working to reorganize its ranks and rearm.

For its part, Hezbollah does not entirely deny this narrative, stating that it has managed to restructure its military apparatus and compensate for part of the heavy losses it suffered during the autumn 2024 war, one of the most severe confrontations it has faced in recent years.

Indicators

According to informed sources, several signs support the claim that the group has recovered part of its arsenal, including the renewed activity of certain field units in southern Lebanon, the limited reactivation of command and control networks, and logistical movements suggesting the replenishment of conventional weapons stockpiles, particularly short- and medium-range missiles.

Security reports also indicate that Hezbollah has managed, despite restrictions, to resume training its fighters and address manpower shortages resulting from the war, drawing on its long experience of operating under pressure and on a regional support network that remains active, albeit more cautious.

At the same time, Israel is closely monitoring Hezbollah’s movements, relying on intelligence and air superiority that render any logistical or military activity vulnerable to detection and targeting at any moment.

Hezbollah is also facing growing pressure on multiple fronts, as Syria is reportedly tightening controls and cutting off several traditional supply routes that the group had relied upon for transporting weapons and equipment, according to the French report.

Moreover, the newspaper cites sources stating that the damage inflicted on Hezbollah’s military infrastructure, including storage facilities, launch systems, and command and control networks, was extensive, making the rebuilding process lengthy and complex, requiring more time and resources than are currently available.

Thus, while both Israeli rhetoric and Hezbollah’s leadership continue to portray the situation from opposing yet definitive perspectives, realities on the ground reveal a slow and cautious reconstruction process, governed by precise regional and security considerations, making the full restoration of the group’s former arsenal an objective that has yet to be achieved, at least in the foreseeable future.

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