Who Will Win the 2024 U.S. Election? Surprising Predictions Emerge

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Between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, the White House faces uncertainty just six days before the scheduled November 5 election, but surprises remain possible.

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The U.S. election is set for November 5, with the race intensifying between Republican Trump and Democrat Harris as both candidates hold campaign events nationwide.

Although several days remain until Election Day, 44 million voters have already cast their ballots, either in early in-person voting or by mail, according to The New York Times.

From immigration to abortion, foreign policy to the economy, the confrontation between the candidates is intense as they aim to mobilize voters and sway undecided ones, given the close nature of the race.

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Who will win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?

For months, most polls have shown a close race for the White House, with any lead falling within the margin of error, making the outcome highly unpredictable with about a week to go.

According to The New York Times, the national polling average currently shows Harris leading Trump by one point.

Specifically, two new polls show Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead of former President Donald Trump, according to Forbes.

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An ABC/Ipsos poll of likely voters released Sunday has Harris leading Trump by four points, 51% to 47%, a slight increase from her 50%-48% lead in early October, a margin just outside the margin of error (2.5 points).

Another CBS/YouGov poll, also from Sunday, shows Harris leading 50% to 49%, a shift from her previous 51%-48% lead in mid-October. However, this difference remains within the margin of error (2.6 points).

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Tied

In an Emerson College poll (October 23-24) published last Saturday, the candidates were tied at 49%, after Harris had led 49% to 48% just a week earlier (margin of error 3 points).

This marks the first time since August that Harris has not led in Emerson’s weekly polling.

A Times/Siena poll published Friday (margin of error 2.2) found Trump and Harris deadlocked at 48% each, results deemed “discouraging” for Harris, given that Democrats have won the popular vote in recent elections even when they lost the White House, as noted by The Times.

This poll reflects a drop in support for Harris since early October, when she led 49% to 46%.

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Meanwhile, three polls last week showed Trump with a narrow lead, while six others had Harris ahead.

A CNN/SSRS poll from Friday also showed the candidates tied at 47%, a downward trend for Harris, who previously led 48% to 47% in September.

In a CNBC poll of registered voters published Thursday (margin of error 3.1), Trump led 48% to 46%.

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Lastly, a Wall Street Journal poll showed Trump leading 47% to 45%, a shift from August when Harris led 47% to 45%.

A Forbes poll published Wednesday (margin of error 2.5) also had Trump ahead of Harris by two points, 51% to 49%, among likely voters.