Policy

Nuclear Deterrence Outdated… The UK Drowning in Maritime and Aerial Options


Three experts warned that the United Kingdom is facing a “dual” problem with its nuclear arsenal, especially with the ongoing escalation of global tensions.

The experts emphasized the need for the United Kingdom to prioritize expanding its nuclear arsenal and warned of the “urgent need for action,” according to an article in the Daily Express.

To overcome the current situation, the experts suggested that the UK consider diversifying its offensive nuclear capabilities, especially since the British Royal Navy’s old “Vanguard” class submarines are currently the only means available for London to launch such strikes, if necessary.

In an article published in The Spectator, journalist and author Paul Mason, senior lecturer Mark DeFord, and associate director of the research center James Rogers painted a concerning picture of the UK and Europe’s nuclear capabilities.

The experts stated that the upcoming strategic defense review must “take seriously” evidence suggesting that British nuclear deterrence may not be at the required level.

“Partial Strategy”

The United Kingdom lacks “semi-strategic” nuclear weapons that produce a smaller nuclear explosion, as it only has the “on-off switch” with its “Trident” nuclear deterrent, according to the experts.

According to them, this could be acceptable if the United States, which possesses semi-strategic nuclear weapons, were a “100% reliable ally,” but the situation has changed under President Donald Trump, with ongoing concerns about Washington’s commitment to European security.

In this context, the Vanguard submarines are capable of launching a single missile with a smaller warhead in response to a “tactical” strike from Russia, for example.

However, the experts pointed out two risks associated with such an action: the first is that Russia might interpret the launch as a strategic strike and respond accordingly, and the second is that it could reveal the position of the submarine carrying out the launch, requiring the UK to keep two submarines at sea, not just one.

The experts added, “Therefore, logic dictates that the UK must acquire more diversified means to deliver a nuclear strike.”

This warning from the experts aligns with what a prominent defense expert suggested last month, proposing that one option for Britain could be equipping a “Storm Shadow” missile, used by the Royal Air Force, with a low-yield nuclear warhead.

 

 

 

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