Policy

A two-phase agreement… Details of a proposal to end the war with Iran


Reuters revealed the existence of a plan delivered to Iran and the United States to end hostilities, which could come into effect as early as today and lead to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

The source added that Pakistan prepared a framework to end the fighting, which was delivered to Iran and the United States overnight. The framework is based on a two-phase approach, beginning with an immediate ceasefire followed by a comprehensive agreement.

Details of the proposal

According to the source, “all elements must be agreed today,” adding that “the initial understanding will be drafted in the form of a memorandum of understanding to be finalized through Pakistan, which is the sole communication channel in the talks.”

The source indicated that, if approved, the plan would lead to an immediate ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, provided that a final agreement is reached within 15 to 20 days.

The source added that “the proposed final agreement includes Iran’s abandonment of nuclear weapons, the lifting of sanctions against it, and the release of its frozen assets.”

Donald Trump told The Wall Street Journal on Sunday that the deadline he gave Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz — or face attacks on vital infrastructure — expires Tuesday evening.

In the same context, the website Axios cited four well-informed American, Israeli, and Middle Eastern sources as saying that Iran and a group of regional mediators are discussing the terms of a possible 45-day ceasefire that could lead to a permanent end to the war, describing it as the “last chance” before “Trump’s hell.”

The report indicated that mediators are discussing the terms of a two-phase agreement, with the first phase being a potential 45-day ceasefire during which negotiations would be conducted toward a permanent end to the war, while the second phase would include an agreement to end the war.

It added that the ceasefire could be extended if negotiations require more time.

The talks will collapse

In Israel, assessments predict the collapse of U.S.–Iran negotiations, and the Israeli military is preparing to launch major strikes that include energy facilities.

The Israeli newspaper Maariv revealed that “Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu approved on Saturday evening a series of targets related to energy infrastructure in Iran.” It added: “Assessments in Israel are that Donald Trump will give the green light.”

For its part, Israel’s Channel 12 News stated: “Prevailing assessments in Israel indicate that negotiations between the United States and Iran will collapse and will not reach a stage where real progress can be announced, let alone understandings.”

Channel 12 noted that “in Israel, preparations are underway for the collapse of the talks, and there is an understanding that if this happens, a ‘window of opportunity,’ described by political officials as ‘rare,’ will open, allowing attacks on major targets in Iran — energy facilities and national infrastructure.”

It added: “The relevant targets were presented to members of the restricted security cabinet and were jointly coordinated between Israel and the United States.”

Trump’s ultimatum

The new deadline, at midnight Tuesday–Wednesday GMT, represents a one-day extension of Trump’s ultimatum to Tehran after he threatened to destroy power stations and bridges in the country if no agreement is reached.

In late March, the U.S. president extended the ultimatum by ten days until Monday, April 6. Trump set a series of conditions for an agreement with Iran, particularly the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

On Sunday, Trump told Fox News that there was a “good chance” of reaching an agreement with Iran on Monday.

During a phone interview with a Fox News correspondent, the U.S. president said: “I think there is a good chance tomorrow; they are negotiating now.” He warned that “if they do not quickly reach an agreement, I am seriously considering destroying everything and taking the oil.”

According to the U.S. president, the negotiations are no longer about Iran possessing a nuclear weapon, as Tehran has, according to Trump, abandoned that idea.

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