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Recent movements by the dissolved National Congress Party in Sudan (c) have revealed a rift between two factions within the Muslim Brotherhood, which ruled the country for nearly 30 years before being ousted by a popular revolution in December 2018.

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The announcement of the election of Ahmed Haroun, wanted by the International Criminal Court, as head of the National Congress Party, at the congress held in Atbara, in the Nile State, in the north of the country, on November 13-14, took place under complete secrecy and strict security measures. It was met with objections and remarks from the second faction of the party, led by Ibrahim Mahmoud Hamid and Nafie Ali Nafie, who have been conducting political activities from Port Sudan for two months.

According to (Ayn) network, a source familiar with the Shura Council deliberations stated that the leader and former Foreign Minister of the Brotherhood, Ibrahim Ghandour, is leading efforts to prevent a split between the two conflicting factions, led by Ali Kerti and Haroun on one side, and Nafie Ali Nafie and Ibrahim Mahmoud Hamid on the other.

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The source explained: “The faction led by Nafie believes that Ibrahim Mahmoud Hamid is the most deserving of election, as Haroun has personal failures, and he did not act to prevent al-Bashir‘s removal when he participated in a meeting with the late leader of the Umma Party, Sadiq al-Mahdi, who led the civil opposition at the time, when he met with Salah Abdullah, known as Qush, the head of intelligence, just hours before al-Bashir‘s ouster.”

The source added that “security measures around Ahmed Haroun have been heightened in recent days to prevent any targeting or assassination attempts after information spread about an assassination attempt shortly after the Shura Council deliberations in Atbara, the capital of the Nile State.”

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These political developments within the dissolved National Congress Party, particularly the Kerti-Haroun faction, have led to attacks on Atbara by a series of drones from November 19 to 24. The source stated, “These security developments are linked to the National Congress Party meetings in this city, which the Haroun-Kerti faction has chosen as the headquarters for its political activities and coordination with security and military agencies.”

Political analyst Mohamed Makin believes that the Ahmed Haroun and Kerti faction holds the “loudest voice” within the “dissolved” party for many reasons, the main one being that this faction is close to the army, has the support of former President Omar al-Bashir, and is quick to mobilize young people to fight, those who have complete loyalty to the Islamists.

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He continued: “However, it cannot be assumed that the closeness between the army and the Kerti faction is sustainable because the situation inside the military compartment changes from time to time depending on the course of the war, and thus each faction tries to present itself to the army as the most deserving of rapprochement.”

The analyst also suggested that the internal conflict within the dissolved National Congress Party might affect the security and military agencies, turning the General Intelligence Service and Military Intelligence into isolated islands.

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He continued: “The Haroun-Kerti faction has the greatest influence within the security and military services, and it is clear that Haroun has a relationship with the army deputy commander and Sovereignty Council member, Shams al-Din al-Kabashi. Therefore, the danger of this conflict lies in the fact that it could spread to the security services.”

He added, “The National Congress Party is currently putting pressure on army commander Abdel Fattah al-Burhan to allow former President Omar al-Bashir to leave his secret prison in Meroe, in the north of the country, under the pretext of medical treatment, to permanently settle in an Arab country.”

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Political analyst Mussab Abdullah asserted that “the Haroun-Kerti faction is the closest to forming an alliance with the army because both men have ties in mobilizing fighters in the allied brigades with the army during the war against the Rapid Support Forces.”

He added: “It is known that Ahmed Haroun formed the Central Reserve forces accused of human rights violations against civilians in Darfur, which led to his being wanted by the International Criminal Court, and he also participated in dispersing the sit-in in front of the army headquarters in April 2019 by sending security brigades from North Kordofan. He thus still makes promises to army commanders to prepare allied military brigades for the army.”

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Mussab Abdullah believes that the faction led by Ibrahim Mahmoud Hamid and Nafie Ali Nafie is neither completely close nor entirely distant from the army, but this faction follows a “more rational policy,” unlike the Kerti-Haroun faction, which is dominated by radicalism in its relations with political forces.

He concluded: “The dissolved National Congress Party has lost its political value after being overthrown by the December revolution, and what it has been doing in recent years, whether during the transitional period or during the current war, is simply an attempt to seduce military leaders and set up military brigades to ally with the army forces.”

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