Analysts reveal: The current situation in Lebanon mirrors the events of 2006

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The brutal war in Lebanon rages on day and night; it is the relentless Israeli aggression, shedding blood with unprecedented ferocity, turning the bodies of innocents into fragments. Israeli forces have intensified their airstrikes on the southern suburbs of Beirut, targeting the Haytouteh el-Ghadir area, while simultaneously attacking southern Lebanon, including the towns of Shihabiya, Khiyam, Tayr Harfa, and Arzoun. An Israeli air raid on the town of Deir resulted in the destruction of a three-story residential building.

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Israeli Threat

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned the Lebanese people that they could face “destruction and suffering” similar to the Palestinians in Gaza if they do not “liberate” the country from Hezbollah. In a video message addressed to the Lebanese people, Netanyahu stated: “You have the chance to save Lebanon before it falls into a long war that will lead to destruction and suffering, as we see in Gaza.”

The United Nations announced it had raised $53 million out of the $426 million needed to support Lebanon in its current crisis caused by the Israeli war, according to breaking news on Cairo News.

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Escalation of Events

Lebanese political analyst Fadi Aakoum stated that the situation in Lebanon is unpredictable, and no one can foresee what will happen next. Hezbollah continues to intensify its rocket launches against Israel, while Israel targets Hezbollah‘s infrastructure, stockpiles, and leadership. Despite growing discussions about a possible political resolution, military developments continue to escalate.

He mentioned that the increasing talk of negotiations suggests that they may occur soon, but Israel will likely escalate its operations further to gain leverage during ceasefire negotiations, potentially intensifying ground operations.

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He continued: “While ground operations are said to be limited, they do not seem to be yielding results along the border between the two countries,” emphasizing that entering Lebanon would not be easy and could become a quagmire for the Israeli army.

Ongoing Losses

Major General Wael Rabie, advisor at the Center for Strategic Studies at the Military Academy, said that the current situation in Lebanon mirrors that of 2006, when intense airstrikes and artillery occurred. When Israel attempted a ground incursion into southern Lebanon, it suffered significant losses.

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He added that there are indications that since 2006, Hezbollah has prepared southern Lebanon with ambushes, tunnels, and a considerable arsenal, making any ground incursion much more prolonged than anticipated.

He concluded: “The losses of Israeli ground forces will not be small. When the Golani Brigade, considered an elite unit, entered the Maroun al-Ras and Kafr Kila areas, it suffered heavy losses, indicating that Hezbollah is well-prepared in this region. In the coming days, we will witness an escalation from Israel, as it will not tolerate a disruption of its strategic position in southern Lebanon. There will be an intensification of strikes to weaken Hezbollah‘s defenses, and the situation is expected to be long and difficult.”

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