Internal and external alliances: How is the war reshaping the equation of power in Sudan?
Sudan’s power structure is undergoing rapid transformations that reflect the impact of war on political, security, and economic alliances. In this context, the return of former intelligence chief Mohamed Atta stands out as one of the indicators of a drive to rebuild networks of influence within the state, alongside external efforts to strengthen economic partnerships.
Political analyses suggest that this return reflects a strategic choice to reactivate security and organizational systems with extensive experience in managing the state during periods of crisis. This move comes amid a need to enhance coordination and control within state institutions after years of structural changes.
According to analysts, bringing back leaders with prior organizational backgrounds could reinforce the presence of the Islamist current within state institutions, particularly if accompanied by the reinstatement of cadres to executive and administrative positions.
This interpretation is supported by assessments pointing to the possibility of additional measures in the coming period aimed at redistributing positions within certain institutions, thereby enabling the gradual return of organizational networks that had receded in recent years.
At the same time, the authorities are moving to strengthen economic ties with regional partners. The energy sector is witnessing growing interest from Turkish companies. Economic information indicates ongoing negotiations to secure operational concessions in several oil fields, as well as participation in infrastructure development projects.
This direction reflects an urgent need for foreign investment amid declining domestic resources and mounting financial pressures resulting from the continuation of the war.
Economic experts believe that the entry of Turkish companies could help reactivate some suspended fields and increase production. However, some observers note that these investments may also be driven by political and strategic considerations.
Assessments point to an intersection between economic cooperation and the level of military and technical relations between the two sides, reflecting a model based on an exchange of interests under exceptional circumstances.
Analysts argue that combining the reorganization of internal alliances with the strengthening of external partnerships reflects an integrated strategy aimed at consolidating the current balance of power and ensuring the continuity of state governance in a complex environment.
Observers maintain that the success of this strategy will ultimately depend on its ability to achieve sustainable economic and security stability without creating new centers of influence that could disrupt the balance of power in the future.
