Disengagement from Gaza: Did Hezbollah accept in private what it publicly rejected?
Reuters, citing a Lebanese government source, reported that Hezbollah is willing to discuss a ceasefire with Israel without insisting on a truce in Gaza.
-
Hezbollah Engages in Violent Clashes with Israeli Army near Border
-
The Role of Hashem Safi al-Din in Hezbollah: Is He Considered the Second in Command After Nasrallah?
In his last appearance, Hezbollah’s Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah, who was killed in an Israeli airstrike last month, maintained that halting reciprocal strikes with Israel was contingent on signing a truce in Gaza.
While the official stance of the Lebanese party still links the two fronts, growing signs suggest an openness to a ceasefire in Lebanon.
-
The Sole Survivor of Hezbollah’s Leadership: Who Is Abou Ali Reza?
-
A $7 Million Bounty on Its Leader: What Is Hezbollah’s Most Dangerous Unit, “The Shadow Unit”?
Hezbollah has suffered a series of heavy blows, starting with the assassination of its second-in-command, Fuad Shukr, the party’s chief of staff, followed by the destruction of communication devices in an Israeli interception operation, the killing of the leaders of the Radwan Force, its elite unit, and later its secretary-general.
Other senior party leaders were later killed, and it remains unclear if Nasrallah‘s successor also met his fate in a similar Israeli airstrike on Beirut’s southern suburb.
-
Hezbollah Faces Two Choices After Nasrallah’s Assassination: Crushing Retaliation or Defeat
-
Gaza Setback and the Success of Israeli Spies: An Analysis of Hezbollah Infiltration
Disengagement from Gaza
A Lebanese government official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told Reuters that Hezbollah changed its stance due to a combination of pressures, including the mass exodus of individuals from key electoral districts where the party’s supporters live in southern Lebanon and Beirut’s southern suburb.
The official added that the decision was also driven by Israel’s intensification of its ground campaign and opposition from some Lebanese political factions to Hezbollah’s stance.
-
Israel Considers Ceasefire with Hezbollah While Continuing Escalation
-
Can Hezbollah stand up to Israel? Iranian President expresses doubts
In recent days, major lawmakers from other sects in Lebanon’s political landscape have called for a resolution to end the fighting without tying Lebanon’s future to the Gaza war. Lebanon was already struggling with an economic crisis before this latest round of conflict.
Internal pressure
Druze leader Walid Jumblatt said last Monday, “We will not tie our fate to Gaza’s.”
Christian politician Sleiman Frangieh, a close ally of Hezbollah, told reporters yesterday that the “priority” was to stop the Israeli offensive. He added, “We must come out united in Lebanon, and the most important thing is for Lebanon to emerge victorious.”
-
Israel Urges Lebanese Citizens to Immediately Move Away from Hezbollah Sites
-
Heaviest escalation between Hezbollah and Israel puts Lebanon on the brink of war
Before these comments, there were already signs from other leaders that Hezbollah might be changing its stance.
Hezbollah official Mahmoud Qomati told Iraq’s state television on Sunday that the group would be willing to begin exploring political solutions once the aggression against Lebanon ends, without mentioning Gaza.
A late move
Diplomats observing this shift believe that Hezbollah may have delayed too long in generating diplomatic momentum.
-
The “gouged eyes” could have been avoided… Here’s what Hezbollah overlooked
-
Did Mossad Rig Hezbollah’s Communication Devices in Taiwan?
One diplomat involved in Lebanese affairs stated that the “governing logic” now adopted by Israel is military, not diplomatic.
A senior Western diplomat also noted that there were no imminent signs of a ceasefire, indicating that Lebanese officials’ current stance had “evolved” from their previous insistence on halting the fighting in Gaza when bombs first began to fall on Beirut.
-
The “Empire” of Smuggling and Gold: Why Lebanon Grows Poorer While Hezbollah Becomes Wealthier
-
Hezbollah’s Response to Chokr’s Assassination Eased Tensions
-
Geagea attacks Hezbollah: Dragging Lebanon into an “absurd war” that did not benefit Gaza